ZHOU Chunshan,ZOU Zeduo,ZHANG Guojun,et al.Spatio-temporal evolution and influencing factors of new-quality productive forces in Guangdong Province[J].Acta Scientiarum Naturalium Universitatis Sunyatseni,2025,64(05):125-136.
ZHOU Chunshan,ZOU Zeduo,ZHANG Guojun,et al.Spatio-temporal evolution and influencing factors of new-quality productive forces in Guangdong Province[J].Acta Scientiarum Naturalium Universitatis Sunyatseni,2025,64(05):125-136. DOI: 10.13471/j.cnki.acta.snus.ZR20250011.
Spatio-temporal evolution and influencing factors of new-quality productive forces in Guangdong Province
Accelerating the formation of new-quality productive forces is essential for adancing Chinese-style modernization and high-quality development. This study established an evaluation index system for new quality productive forces through a systematic analysis of their fundamental principles and dimensional attributes. We employed the comprehensive index method to measure the development levels of new quality productive forces in Guangdong Province and its prefecture-level cities from 2013 to 2022. Using exploratory spatial data analysis, we revealed the spatial correlation characteristics of these development levels, and further investigated their influencing factors through spatial econometric models. The results indicate that: (1) The development level of new quality productive forces in Guangdong demonstrated a consistent upward trajectory during the study period. (2) Spatially, the province gradually formed a dichotomy pattern where medium-level and high-level cities predominantly clustered in the Pearl River Delta (PRD), while low-level cities aggregated in eastern, western, and northern Guangdong. (3) Spatial analysis revealed a diffusion trend in the agglomeration effects, with PRD cities maintaining high-value clusters and western Guangdong cities persisting as low-value clusters. (4)The spatial Durbin model identified significantly promoted impacts from technological advancement, foreign investment, industrial structure optimization, and marketization, whereas government intervention exhibited significantly inhibitory effects. Education expenditure and financial support are statistically insignificant.
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